Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 58.070440 66.190858 74.526250 83.687422 93.440189 103.481717 114.571475
2025-12-21 44.154505 55.520288 67.775854 81.827967 97.359626 113.881135 132.667697
2025-12-28 38.830751 52.325856 67.373339 85.100526 105.146087 126.876765 151.992756
2026-01-04 33.979789 48.908699 66.079240 86.797635 110.684558 136.987204 167.788477
2026-01-11 28.948747 44.646416 63.280568 86.295751 113.320056 143.506507 179.273719
2026-01-18 24.794309 40.986546 60.809735 85.833479 115.706395 149.499406 189.949515
2026-01-25 21.718994 38.362174 59.329252 86.316927 118.999430 156.369108 201.481477
2026-02-01 18.578609 35.319489 57.071071 85.638821 120.738480 161.299365 210.670032
2026-02-08 16.098025 32.918474 55.432549 85.558282 123.057003 166.797644 220.422893
2026-02-15 13.613957 30.238555 53.228829 84.603137 124.182132 170.787647 228.336004
2026-02-22 12.150477 28.921477 52.736698 85.740473 127.802525 177.684707 239.607568
2026-03-01 10.964821 27.905803 52.569449 87.231306 131.811551 185.012050 251.361810
2026-03-08 9.161772 25.699109 50.633679 86.348026 132.841193 188.780289 258.966288
2026-03-15 7.346606 23.207875 48.123551 84.575779 132.658496 191.018629 264.709258
2026-03-22 6.997518 23.309622 49.390381 87.885586 138.936871 201.119203 279.835954
2026-03-29 6.312926 22.689291 49.526559 89.617318 143.169890 208.706255 291.948677
2026-04-05 5.221075 21.098491 48.087867 89.105680 144.455475 212.635134 299.637925
2026-04-12 4.275199 19.627193 46.732040 88.635266 145.740174 216.523762 307.248835
2026-04-19 3.614533 18.651434 46.092573 89.127353 148.251277 221.911132 316.658993
2026-04-26 2.852946 17.252978 44.672051 88.437092 149.155221 225.261723 323.569731
2026-05-03 2.282520 16.177200 43.709306 88.355105 150.829598 229.551235 331.606739
2026-05-10 1.691203 14.829106 42.184286 87.382752 151.264664 232.247742 337.669442
2026-05-17 1.411629 14.335221 42.112735 88.540569 154.555878 238.545886 348.149972